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Societal Transformations in Models for Energy and Climate Policy:The Ambitious Next Step
Trutnevyte, Evelina ; Hirt, Léon F. ; Bauer, Nico ; Cherp, Aleh ; Hawkes, Adam ; Edelenbosch, Oreane Y. ; Pedde, Simona ; van Vuuren, Detlef P.
Trutnevyte, Evelina
Hirt, Léon F.
Bauer, Nico
Cherp, Aleh
Hawkes, Adam
Edelenbosch, Oreane Y.
Pedde, Simona
van Vuuren, Detlef P.
Title / Series / Name
One Earth
Publication Volume
1
Publication Issue
4
Pages
Editors
Keywords
climate change
energy system models
integrated assessment models
social sciences and humanities
societal transformations
General Environmental Science
Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
SDG 13 - Climate Action
energy system models
integrated assessment models
social sciences and humanities
societal transformations
General Environmental Science
Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Files
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Cherp-Aleh2_2019.pdf
Adobe PDF, 1.59 MB
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14018/27081
Abstract
Whether and how long-term energy and climate targets can be reached depend on a range of interlinked factors: technology, economy, environment, policy, and society at large. Integrated assessment models of climate change or energy-system models have limited representations of societal transformations, such as behavior of various actors, transformation dynamics in time, and heterogeneity across and within societies. After reviewing the state of the art, we propose a research agenda to guide experiments to integrate more insights from social sciences into models: (1) map and assess societal assumptions in existing models, (2) conduct empirical research on generalizable and quantifiable patterns to be integrated into models, and (3) build and extensively validate modified or new models. Our proposed agenda offers three benefits: interdisciplinary learning between modelers and social scientists, improved models with a more complete representation of multifaceted reality, and identification of new and more effective solutions to energy and climate challenges.
Topic
Publisher
Place of Publication
Type
Journal article
Date
2019-12-20
Language
ISBN
Identifiers
10.1016/j.oneear.2019.12.002