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Success and luck in creative careers
Title / Series / Name
Publication Volume
Publication Issue
Pages
Editors
Keywords
Creative careers
Dynamics of impact
Science of science
Success
Modeling and Simulation
Computer Science Applications
Computational Mathematics
Dynamics of impact
Science of science
Success
Modeling and Simulation
Computer Science Applications
Computational Mathematics
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14018/26733
Abstract
Luck is considered a crucial ingredient to achieve impact in all creative domains, despite their diversity. For instance, in science, the movie industry, music, and art, the occurrence of the highest impact work and a hot streak within a creative career are very difficult to predict. Are there domains that are more prone to luck than others? Here, we provide new insights on the role of randomness in impact in creative careers in two ways: (i) we systematically untangle luck and individual ability to generate impact in the movie, music, and book industries, and in science, and compare the luck factor between these fields; (ii) we show the surprising presence of randomness in the relationship between collaboration networks and timing of career hits. Taken together, our analysis suggests that luck consistently affects career impact across all considered sectors and improves our understanding in pinpointing the key elements in driving success.
Topic
Publisher
Place of Publication
Type
Journal article
Date
2020-12-01
Language
ISBN
Identifiers
10.1140/epjds/s13688-020-00227-w