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Voters, issues, and party loyalty: The 2022 Italian election under the magnifying glass
Title / Series / Name
Quaderni dell’Osservatorio elettorale – Italian Journal of Electoral Studies
Publication Volume
85
Publication Issue
2
Pages
Editors
Keywords
2022 Italian election
Socio-demographics
Issue preferences
Party loyalty
Vote flows
Brothers of Italy
Socio-demographics
Issue preferences
Party loyalty
Vote flows
Brothers of Italy
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14018/14112
Abstract
The 2022 Italian election marked a historic victory for the centre-right coalition. This camp was spearheaded by Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy (FDI), with a solid performance of this radical right party across the country. However, considerable nuance emerges by looking at different aspects of the vote, which we do by leveraging original data from the pre-electoral wave of the 2022 CISE/ICCP survey. After recapping both the build-up to and results of the election, we employ this data on these specific fronts. First, we analyse vote flows between the 2018 and 2022 elections in three big cities in Northern, Central, and Southern Italy: Turin, Florence, and Naples. This analysis shows that FDI becomes more competitive in these traditionally unfavourable contexts, although less so in Naples. Second, we analyse data on the configuration of Italian voters’ preferences, which reveals an increasingly progressive electorate in an apparent contradiction with the election results. Third and final, we go deeper into the demand-side picture by assessing the role of sociodemographic characteristics over vote choice, presenting the voter profile of the five largest parties: the three main centre-right parties, the Democratic Party, and the Five Star Movement. Overall, the findings that emerge from our article enhance a more fine-grained understanding of this crucial election in Italy.
Topic
Publisher
Place of Publication
Type
Journal article
Date
2022
Language
ISBN
Identifiers
10.36253/qoe-13956